CS analyst sniffed out some of the story only to have many here label his work a short plant Too many only want to hear what they want to hear. Not good for investing. The doubters had it right.
I didnt doubt enough. I do NOT plan to sell here!!!! Can they fix it? Hard to say when you have the people who lost the way for the company trying to fix the problem.
Analyst seem to agree. Some of the issues as I see them: The wallet: Izzy seemed to indicate Increase the usage? I don't know and I believe it would be hard for them to put a honest handle on it. Its a wild card imho. Products go in and out of vogue all the time.
To me the main factor is to stop the bleed and then maybe they can find new customers. Bringing back the old ones we lost is a taller order to me. Yes, the regulation was largely out of their hands but what if it spreads to US?
Why did these countries slap on these new regulations? They are capping their own tax revenues! Clearly they must be some issues with peoples betting trends. Having your biggest market hobbled in such a way with potential for spreading to other igaming areas in the future is very bad. There may be some slight relief as indicated by PSFE but the overall damage is done. Turning to the USA rollout I wont rehash them but it certainly going slower than expected and lower percentages so far. Only thing we can hope for right now is the US igaming story is very early so lets see the ramp.
Overall payment processing: Volumes up but I still have concerns on margins longer term. Debt: We know how high it is and the stated goals but the paydowns are now going to be slower with lower revenues and funds going into righting the problems at the company. It also means they cant buy their way out of these problems. Which maybe is a good thing because I felt they paid too much on their purchases anyway.
Hopes and conclusions: This better have been a "kitchen sink" quarter in terms of guidance. They better "KNOW" they can meet and preferably beat it!!! Unfortunately it also sounds like layoffs will be coming at PSFE. That's what "right sizing" means. Always the little guy loses when the big guy screws up. Hopefully the fluff releases stop and we get better news releases.
New large customers and some exclusivity would be nice but I am asking for too much there I guess. This has turned into a LIncoln style post LOL I've pulled short term targets. This assumes no buyout and stabilization of the business. The warrants, while tradable, expire worthless imho. For those who own them I hope I am wrong. Never a fan of warrants or the companies that issue them. She topped off the barely-there two-piece with a vibran.
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